The 2024 Latino vote in graphics

According to an estimate by the Pew Research Center, more than 36 million Latinos are eligible to vote in the presidential election on November 5, 2024. People who are eligible to vote have citizenship, reside in one of the 50 states or in Washington D.C., and turn 18 at least one day before the election. In total, almost 15% of all eligible voters are Latino/Hispanic. If they register, in 2024, 4 million more Latinos will be able to vote than were eligible in the 2020 election.

More than half of Latinos that have the right to vote live in California, Texas, Florida, and New York. These are states that have voted for the same party in the last two presidential elections and no major surprises are expected. However, in some swing states, which are the ones that end up determining who will be president, the Latino population is significant. In Arizona and Nevada, two of the six swing states, more than 20% of the electorate is Latino, according to The Cook Political Report.

We already know that only a half of Latinos who live in the United States will be eligible to vote in the 2024 presidential elections, because many are not yet 18 years old or they are not citizens. Latinos who are eligible to vote also tend to vote less than other groups. According to a study conducted by UCLA, in 2020 only 61% of eligible Latinos registered to vote, which is 10 points less than the national average. Even among those who do register, 88% ultimately end up voting, which is four points below the national average. 

According to the Brookings Institution, there are 4.7 million more Latinos eligible to vote in 2024 than in 2018. This is largely due to the number of Latinos who turn 18 or become citizens each year. (According to the Pew Research Center, these two groups total 1.4 million people, and there are also people who die each year.) 

Additionally, the sector of voters who are Latino is much younger than other voting groups: Only one out of every three voters is over 50 years old. In the general electorate, almost half of voters are over 50 years old. 

The Democratic Party has received the support of a majority of Latino voters in every presidential election since 1976. However, Donald Trump is the Republican candidate who has won the largest percentage of the Latino vote since Ronald Reagan’s presidency in the 1980s. Despite this, Latinos tend to be more sympathetic toward the Democratic Party, according to Gallup polls.

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